Showing posts with label asset bubble. Show all posts
Showing posts with label asset bubble. Show all posts

Wednesday, January 15, 2014

Jobs Depression Year 6: More Americans Worse Off Financially

Seth Mason Charleston SC blog 11Gallup reports that, in the last year, more Americans have become worse off financially than better off. This revelation--five and a half years after the fall of Lehman--is just the latest evidence that our jobs depression continues. (Article continues after chart.)

Depression Year 6: More Americans Worse Off Financially - change in financial situation

For years, I've been calling this period of American history a jobs depression. Before calling me a Chicken Little for using the "D" word, please keep in mind that, while there's no official definition for "depression" in an economic sense, most economists call protracted periods of economic malaise "depressions".

And the last 6 years have absolutely been a protracted period of economic malaise.

Years after the economy bottomed in 2009, the epidemic of long-term unemployment and underemployment continues to afflict the American workforce. Incredibly, 5 years into "recovery", fewer jobs were created last year than the year before. And, as has been the case throughout this depression, the vast majority of jobs created last year were menial in nature. Very few new "breadwinner" jobs.

Keep in mind that the unacceptably tepid jobs recovery that we have had has been merely a result of the inflation of the Fed's latest asset bubble. The Fed's balance sheet just passed $4 trillion...that's 22% of the entire economy! The Fed has been feigning healthy economic growth for years by inflating what Nouriel Roubini is calling the "mother of all bubbles".

Seth Mason, Charleston SC

Tuesday, April 30, 2013

The New, Bigger Housing Bubble In 4 Charts

Seth Mason Charleston SC blog 22
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke's "solution" to the country's economic woes, a new, even larger asset bubble, is becoming evident in several sectors of the economy, from equities to real estate. The following charts suggest that the bubble the Fed is inflating in the housing market will eclipse the last one, which was big enough to plunge the country into an economic depression when it burst.

First, the year-over-year increase in home prices since 2008 has been steeper than the YoY during the last housing bubble:

The New, Bigger Housing Bubble In 4 Charts - Home Prices Chart


Second, the inversely proportional decrease in mortgage standards and increase in demand for mortgages has been starker than it was during the last bubble:

The New, Bigger Housing Bubble In 4 Charts - Mortgage Demand Chart


Third, apartment and condo starts have been skyrocketing at a rate far eclipsing that of the last bubble:

The New, Bigger Housing Bubble In 4 Charts - Multifamily Construction Chart


Fourth, investors are throwing cheap, Fed-provided money at housing at a rate far exceeding that of the last bubble:

The New, Bigger Housing Bubble In 4 Charts - Residential Investment Chart